09-20-2010, 06:28 PM
(This post was last modified: 09-20-2010, 06:29 PM by Brightcolours.)
[quote name='Klaus' timestamp='1285003049' post='2996']
Yep, this decade marks the end of the SLR concept. Once you realize that a micro-system can give you images as good as DSLRs it's obvious that it's the beginning of the end. We're already seeing a dramatic shift and it's accelerating on a monthly basis. Lenses are all that's missing right now and once Canon and Nikon will introduce their micro-systems (I reckon at the PMA) the APS-C DSLR market is doomed.
Full format DSLRs are here to stay for a while in the professional segment but even today this market has a volume share of just 10% (although some like to feel that it's closer to 90%).
I wouldn't give it two years but 5-8 though. The move from film to digital was simpler because you could keep the lenses. It simply takes a while to recognize the advantages of a micro system. Asia shows the way this time because they've always been early adopter.
[/quote]
Asia is also not a totally good benchmark, as it is also a gadget market. Remember that Asia also has a very low personal computer saturation, that people use cellphones much more than we can imagine.
Yes, for the part of the DSLR market that is the domain of the snap shooters the "micro-system" obviously is a good alternative. Not so for the more serious enthusiast and photographer, though. For them, "micro" makes less sense, as the lenses themselves will never be "micro".
The SLR will be given "back" to the photographer, with obviously a bit a smaller market share.
Yep, this decade marks the end of the SLR concept. Once you realize that a micro-system can give you images as good as DSLRs it's obvious that it's the beginning of the end. We're already seeing a dramatic shift and it's accelerating on a monthly basis. Lenses are all that's missing right now and once Canon and Nikon will introduce their micro-systems (I reckon at the PMA) the APS-C DSLR market is doomed.
Full format DSLRs are here to stay for a while in the professional segment but even today this market has a volume share of just 10% (although some like to feel that it's closer to 90%).
I wouldn't give it two years but 5-8 though. The move from film to digital was simpler because you could keep the lenses. It simply takes a while to recognize the advantages of a micro system. Asia shows the way this time because they've always been early adopter.
[/quote]
Asia is also not a totally good benchmark, as it is also a gadget market. Remember that Asia also has a very low personal computer saturation, that people use cellphones much more than we can imagine.
Yes, for the part of the DSLR market that is the domain of the snap shooters the "micro-system" obviously is a good alternative. Not so for the more serious enthusiast and photographer, though. For them, "micro" makes less sense, as the lenses themselves will never be "micro".
The SLR will be given "back" to the photographer, with obviously a bit a smaller market share.