07-25-2011, 09:58 PM
[quote name='Klaus' timestamp='1311625698' post='10231']
PCs are on a sharp decline. Frankly I would be surprised if they are still mainstream beyond 2015. Their time is over ... just like DSLRs. ;-))
[/quote]
Big claim! 3.5 years for the PC to die? Just to be clear here, by PC, do you mean, for example: Windows boxes, laptops, netbooks, and Macs? What will replace it? iPads and other equivalents? In new sales volume, that may be a possibility, since it is still a new market and PCs as a whole is a saturated mature market. Combined with the economic situations, everyone that has a PC already are less likely to replace/renew and just keep using what they have. If you count actives in the field, I think it would take much, much longer.
And at least within the scope of Nikon, I loosely agree with Thom's analysis. Nikon are aiming their small(er) sensor mirrorless at a different point than the DSLRs. They think there is room for both to coexist. Maybe other competitors like m4/3 or Sony will be bigger threats to low end DSLRs but no one has come up with a FF DSLR replacement. Yet.
PCs are on a sharp decline. Frankly I would be surprised if they are still mainstream beyond 2015. Their time is over ... just like DSLRs. ;-))
[/quote]
Big claim! 3.5 years for the PC to die? Just to be clear here, by PC, do you mean, for example: Windows boxes, laptops, netbooks, and Macs? What will replace it? iPads and other equivalents? In new sales volume, that may be a possibility, since it is still a new market and PCs as a whole is a saturated mature market. Combined with the economic situations, everyone that has a PC already are less likely to replace/renew and just keep using what they have. If you count actives in the field, I think it would take much, much longer.
And at least within the scope of Nikon, I loosely agree with Thom's analysis. Nikon are aiming their small(er) sensor mirrorless at a different point than the DSLRs. They think there is room for both to coexist. Maybe other competitors like m4/3 or Sony will be bigger threats to low end DSLRs but no one has come up with a FF DSLR replacement. Yet.
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