03-02-2019, 03:25 AM
(03-01-2019, 08:52 AM)miro Wrote: Hallo Wim,Hi Miro,
Nice to see you back here. As usual your posts brings a lot relevant inforamtion.
Even If I don’t fully agree with you ?
And that is the cases here
- Do you really expect that Canon RP will be the best seller?
I’m not. They will never reach the fraction of sells-numbers that Canon Digital Rebel has ever made.
Two Simple reasons
1. Digital rebel offered a lot for even lower price, while RP offer almost nothing for today camera standards while it costs more. – my aging huawei P20 pro can take decent pictures and video including 4k, and 960fps slow motion
2. Economical reason – Many people will buy 400..500$ camera and few will buy 1000$ +
I hope that I’m wrong. Let’s wait and see the CIPA numbers over 1 year. Canon predict 50% drop within 2 years. For me this numbers seems optimistic. Canon has also bad history -> Remember the promises with first 5D. We will make FF for masses. How big is the FF niche now?
I never said it was going to be THE best-seller, I just said it was going to be a best-seller. I am sure it will do well, considering its price point, the fact that it is FF, and that it is a Canon.
OTOH, it might actually become an even larger best-seller, relatively speaking, if indeed everything below FF dies out due to developements with in-phone cameras. After all, slrs were best-sellers too, and the more advanced photographer didn't mind lugging them around. They were a bit smaller than dslrs however. MFT cameras are closer in size to old analog slrs by a long shot, especially for me personally, as I used to photograph with the smallest of them for many years (Pentax M-series).
The thing to keep in mind is that, certainly IMO, larger cameras will become a niche market, because in-phone cameras basically have taken over from cheaper dslr's and smaller digicams. They are good enough for general purpose use. That also means that any camera with a larger format sensor and interchangeable lenses becomes part of the aforementioned niche market, basically for advanced hobbyists / semipros, and pros of course. In such a scenario, the way it stands, an RP type camera will wrt FF be a FF beginner's camera, and as mentioned, with its current pricing, will likely become quite the best-seller in this type of market.
Of course, that is just my opinion, but I also reckon it is already happening .
Kind regards, Wim
Gear: Canon EOS R with 3 primes and 1 zoom, 4 EF-R adapters, Canon EOS 5 (analog), 9 Canon EF primes, a lone Canon EF zoom, 2 extenders, 2 converters, tubes; Olympus OM-D 1 Mk II & Pen F with 12 primes, 6 zooms, 3 Metabones EF-MFT adapters, and a PhaseOne DF, P45+ back, SK 80 F/2.8 LS, 3 Mamiya lenses ...